Welcome to a special solo edition of Daily Rip Live with Shay Boloor! With Katie out today, Shay runs the show and takes us on a full-spectrum ride through the labor market shock, Fed missteps, CrowdStrike's misunderstood print, and why CoreWeave might be the most overpriced AI trade of the year. Here’s what we covered:
📉 Jobs Collapse & Rate Cut Paralysis
May’s private sector hiring came in at just 37,000—vs. expectations of 115,000. This isn’t noise, but a real sign that tight monetary policy is biting hard—and the odds of zero rate cuts in 2025 should have investors alarmed.
🧠 Fed Mistakes Could Trigger a Soft-Into-Hard Landing
The Fed risks over-tightening into a slowdown that’s already underway. While inflation cools, labor is rolling—and history says the Fed’s timing can be late and costly.
🛡 CrowdStrike Falls, But Still Bullish Long-Term
Despite a post-earnings drop, CrowdStrike remains a top cybersecurity bet. The Falcon Flex usage-based model is exploding (+600% YoY) and could become a Trojan horse for platform consolidation in the age of AI agents.
📊 Module Growth Slowing—Or Just A Temporary Stall?
CrowdStrike’s module adoption rates have stopped rising quarter-over-quarter. It’s a red flag—but Charlotte AI and Flex bundling still make this a potential generational compounder.
⚠️ CoreWeave: The Most Fragile $70B Business in the Market?
CoreWeave’s valuation looks like a “moment rental” built on a fragile triangle: Nvidia supplies, Microsoft demands, and AI scarcity props it up. With no vertical integration or margin expansion, this is the opposite of investable.
📈 SPY & VIX: Summer Trend Mode Activated
Markets are calm, RSI is approaching overbought, and volume is light. This is typical summer action—and a time to prepare, not overtrade.
Chapters
00:00 Market Overview and Job Data Analysis
06:31 Market Trends and Seasonal Patterns
09:51 CrowdStrike Earnings and Cybersecurity Insights
21:15 CoreWeave: A Case Study in Market Speculation
27:27 Market Consolidation and Future Outlook
Where to find the Daily Rip Live hosts on X and Stocktwits:
Shay Boloor - x.com/StockSavvyShay
Katie Perry - stocktwits.com/StocktwitsKP
Subscribe to The Daily Rip Newsletter for your end of day market recap: thedailyrip.stocktwits.com/
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